I definitely need to do that. I will do it. What did you think of this video, making the analogy with card counting and the linear (early voting) and the scattered, clumped by batch or precinct (walk-in voting) AND the bellweather and the other stuff. Was it convincing? None of the other data jocks in testimony did this as far as I saw.
Reid, An approach I haven't seen anyone else take. Nicely done and persuasive to me, a long-time-ago counter (when they played single deck, option to retire rules in LV most everywhere).
One deck. You can really clean up near the end of a single deck. I once found a lady in a hole-in-the-wall casino in Reno who just burned a card to the bottom and dealt all the way there. I won so much from her. I would go there at 9 in the morning so no one else was at the table. We got more hands from each deck that way. I made sure I tipped that lady plenty. I say "lady" she was probably in her early 30s- fairly young to me now- and pretty. By the time the lunch crowd came around, her table was always full. They had her dealing from a shoe by then too because with 6 people at the table, you can usually get only a couple of hands out of a single deck before you have to shuffle which of course is terribly inefficient, shuffling so often. Then one day, she was gone and that was the end of it.
Towards the end, you have a slide considering the Biden "single race" ballots that lists the figures for the 5 or so "battleground" states. Where do those figures come from? I tried to replicate them from the main Politico elections results pages (subtracting Dem Senator totals from Biden totals) without success. Thank in advance for pointing me in a direction!
Besides that, the supposedly linear (due to mixing) early vote graphs are powerful as is the "golden" counties that predicted everything until 2020!
Brilliant. Thank you.
Thank you very much.
I bet you might gain subscribers if you put out a step by step video series on how to learn card counting :)
I definitely need to do that. I will do it. What did you think of this video, making the analogy with card counting and the linear (early voting) and the scattered, clumped by batch or precinct (walk-in voting) AND the bellweather and the other stuff. Was it convincing? None of the other data jocks in testimony did this as far as I saw.
Reid, An approach I haven't seen anyone else take. Nicely done and persuasive to me, a long-time-ago counter (when they played single deck, option to retire rules in LV most everywhere).
Thanks, Dr. I'm glad you liked the analysis.
One deck. You can really clean up near the end of a single deck. I once found a lady in a hole-in-the-wall casino in Reno who just burned a card to the bottom and dealt all the way there. I won so much from her. I would go there at 9 in the morning so no one else was at the table. We got more hands from each deck that way. I made sure I tipped that lady plenty. I say "lady" she was probably in her early 30s- fairly young to me now- and pretty. By the time the lunch crowd came around, her table was always full. They had her dealing from a shoe by then too because with 6 people at the table, you can usually get only a couple of hands out of a single deck before you have to shuffle which of course is terribly inefficient, shuffling so often. Then one day, she was gone and that was the end of it.
Towards the end, you have a slide considering the Biden "single race" ballots that lists the figures for the 5 or so "battleground" states. Where do those figures come from? I tried to replicate them from the main Politico elections results pages (subtracting Dem Senator totals from Biden totals) without success. Thank in advance for pointing me in a direction!
Besides that, the supposedly linear (due to mixing) early vote graphs are powerful as is the "golden" counties that predicted everything until 2020!
Ken, I can't remember where I got them from. I would begin by putting in google, "single race ballots 2020presidential election" .