The Data is Clear, but Why?, Part 2

“You can’t cull a herd of cattle on a ranch in Texas if you’re standing on a street in Manhattan.”

… wnich brings us to the medical relevance of this post. One of our readers, in commenting on another post, asked an excellent series of related questions regarding why the vaccines don’t work in preventing transmission.

Here is Fred’s Question:

Reid, Do we know why there can be reinfection with the Vaccine? Are there any vaccines that offer 100% immunity from reinfection? Is the current COVID vaccine defective or less effective than other vaccines, say Polio or influenza? There seems to be some dissension in the press (and with the government medical agencies) just how much immunity is conveyed by being infected. Today,I saw on TV where a govt doctor said that infection offered 'some' immunity, but not as good as the vaccine. I would have thought it was the opposite as the vaccine sensitizes the immune system to 1 protein (the 'S' protein) from the virus, but getting and overcoming COVID should sensitize your immune system to something like 23 proteins that make up the virus particle. Yes?

My answer to Fred’s first question:

1. Do we know why there can be reinfection with the vaccine? First, allow me to change Fred’s question because this is what he meant to ask. “Do we know why there can be infection, after the vaccine?” I do, Fred. I knew why before the vaccines came out, way back in early December 2020. I figured it out from first principles. I know that sounds hard to believe so I’ll explain it below. I had to wait about a month and a half after the rollout, for enough data to accumulate, before I could confirm that I was right. I knew I was- first principles never fail you- but I needed a sizable fraction of at least one country to be vaccinated for other people to believe me. When I explained all of it in a video on January 25, 2021, nobody noticed for the four hours the video was up.

YouTube took it down, of course. I was so frustrated watching the idiots on TV and on facebook say things like “the vaccines are 95% and 94% effective at preventing spread of the virus from person to person” that I took out the guts of the explanation- that’s what usually gets you in trouble because the fact checkers don’t understand this stuff any better than Drs. Fauci, Birx, Wallensky, Gawande, Gotlieb, etc., (so it’s probably not a good idea to explain it to them) so I simply stated that the vaccines were not preventing people from getting or spreading the virus. I did that on February 10, 2021 (screenshot below) and, this time, it slipped past the YouTube censorship machine.

I used Israel's data instead of that of the US because, even though Israel started their vaccine program six days after ours here in the US (12/20/20) vs. (12/14/20), they were much more efficient at getting doses into people's arms. By January 25, 2021, Israel had vaccinated 30% of their population and that was enough to see clearly that the vaccine wasn’t blocking transmission. In the US, we had vaccinated only 7% and that wasn’t enough to get a clear signal given the error bars of the horrendous rt-PCR test used to measure infecteds. But 30% was.

The explanation: The main reason why there is infection after the vaccine is that the vaccine is injected into the arm instead of sprayed into the nose and mouth. The first principle at play here goes something like this: “You can’t cull a herd of cattle on a ranch in Texas if you’re standing on a street in Manhattan.”